Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.420323 4.802826 5.217239 5.702053 6.256845 6.875730 7.623736
2025-02-16 3.765671 4.283093 4.884339 5.644417 6.594173 7.762240 9.341267
2025-02-23 3.428238 4.023080 4.748870 5.719621 7.016777 8.742442 11.310748
2025-03-02 3.095862 3.710933 4.487073 5.567573 7.084375 9.227483 12.675090
2025-03-09 2.857257 3.484797 4.298977 5.471445 7.189402 9.751724 14.186774
2025-03-16 2.682802 3.322091 4.172148 5.434235 7.358237 10.379955 16.006156
2025-03-23 2.588456 3.255360 4.164885 5.559292 7.777636 11.467486 18.947639
2025-03-30 2.427155 3.083346 3.993193 5.418139 7.751601 11.791597 20.505619
2025-04-06 2.283432 2.925719 3.829007 5.270065 7.690844 12.036081 21.967219
2025-04-13 2.156042 2.783170 3.676145 5.124219 7.613027 12.230388 23.377599
2025-04-20 2.070007 2.694635 3.596625 5.086909 7.717107 12.791541 25.894740
2025-04-27 2.009915 2.639929 3.563487 5.120652 7.950427 13.656601 29.607419
2025-05-04 1.951469 2.590094 3.542980 5.188857 8.287907 14.891805 35.387293
2025-05-11 1.879019 2.516392 3.482040 5.185575 8.496392 15.919171 41.435737
2025-05-18 1.828639 2.472745 3.464915 5.256437 8.864280 17.443392 50.917588
2025-05-25 1.741645 2.367834 3.341397 5.122609 8.783759 17.797592 55.877157
2025-06-01 1.671231 2.285120 3.249030 5.037652 8.796556 18.414879 62.995082
2025-06-08 1.616046 2.223469 3.187594 5.004731 8.919668 19.390112 73.718886
2025-06-15 1.590548 2.207288 3.200998 5.115334 9.388705 21.587240 97.457232
2025-06-22 1.526393 2.126132 3.098752 4.990485 9.280477 21.895986 107.706461
2025-06-29 1.465318 2.047566 2.997114 4.859313 9.140738 22.067003 117.636826
2025-07-06 1.408279 1.973450 2.899757 4.729909 8.990207 22.167020 127.721955
2025-07-13 1.370073 1.928641 2.851488 4.696771 9.080043 23.191445 153.467031